TIWCG  ·  Market Intelligence

Research & Intelligence Notes

Independent quantitative macro research and algorithm performance reporting published for our accredited investor network.

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Macro Alerts
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Strategy
April 2026 Macro Research Special Report
Are We Witnessing a Depression Already in Progress?
Six depression precursors active simultaneously for the first time since 2008. The four-stage transmission sequence — hyperinflation, demand destruction, asset deflation, depression — is no longer theoretical.
+4.4%
TCG Q1 2026
Net Return
Read
Q1 2026  ·  Jan–Mar 2026 Performance Note DPM / QCAM
Markets Fell. Volatility Spiked. Our Algorithms Delivered.
Official Q1 2026 DPM performance note. +4.4% net while S&P fell 4.6% and Bitcoin dropped 22.1%. Crisis track record, drawdown comparison, and full product suite.
+4.4%
Q1 2026
Net Return
Read
January 2026 Gain & Grit Investor Research
The Asymmetric Volatility: Limited Downside, Non-linear Upside
The research note that preceded the crash. VIX at 13.38 — cycle lows, positioning crowded short, six signals pointing to nonlinear upside. Published January 2026. Algorithms activated February 20th.
13.38
VIX at publication
Cycle low
Read
May 2026Coming Soon
Q2 2026 Positioning Update
Quarterly performance attribution, algorithm activation log, and forward positioning for the current macro regime.
May
2026
Q2 2026Coming Soon
Volatility as Asset Class: How the Architecture Harvests Crisis
Technical deep-dive: how crash-protection and volatility-harvesting algorithms activate, what they trade, and why elevated volatility is the optimal input state.
Q2
2026